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Matchup Reports

BALTIMORE (4-3) AT CINCINNATI (5-2)
Sunday,  Nov 8 2009  at 1:00 PM
 News Coverage: BALTIMORE | CINCINNATIOffensive StatisticsDefensive Statistics
TeamsLinePF/PASUATSO/U/PRYPYTYRYPYTY
405: BALTIMORE
406: CINCINNATI
45.0
+3.0
28.4 / 19.6
23.3 / 18.3
4-3
5-2
5-2-0
4-3-0
4-3-0
4-3-0
124.9
127.7
253.9
218.1
378.7
345.9
87.6
88.0
226.1
253.3
313.7
341.3
Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.
 Power Rating
 EstimateEdge
BALTIMORE-7 
CINCINNATI  
Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.
BALTIMORE - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -32-110-848-403-012-640-521-29-949-42
in all games5-222-20120-984-325-16104-1184-322-20118-107
in all lined games5-222-20120-984-325-16104-1184-322-20118-107
as a favorite3-111-960-451-38-1151-553-114-678-30
as a road favorite of 3 points or less0-00-27-70-01-17-80-00-28-7
in road games2-110-1257-553-015-649-631-29-1346-68
in road lined games2-110-1257-553-015-649-631-29-1346-68
in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points0-11-17-61-02-08-50-11-15-9
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points2-14-320-182-15-221-181-22-513-27
against conference opponents4-217-1693-753-320-1281-904-216-1789-85
when playing with 6 or less days rest3-215-1794-813-218-1386-932-317-1597-85
versus division opponents1-17-852-450-29-555-441-16-950-51
in games played on turf1-13-416-162-05-215-170-22-511-21
in November games1-05-531-230-18-233-251-05-530-27
revenging a loss against opponent0-05-729-310-07-535-280-05-726-37
when playing against a team with a winning record2-29-1045-412-211-841-481-37-1231-59
in weeks 5 through 92-16-630-291-25-727-341-26-626-35

CINCINNATI - Recent ATS Trends
 Against the spreadOver/UnderStraight Up
 CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992CurrentLast 3   Since 1992
DescriptionW-LW-LW-LO-UO-UO-UW-LW-LW-L
in games where the line is +3 to -32-09-645-452-07-949-432-09-747-47
in all games4-317-21127-1484-316-22137-1385-216-22103-176
in all lined games4-317-21127-1484-316-22137-1385-216-22103-176
as an underdog4-012-1090-1103-18-14102-984-09-1353-149
as a home underdog of 3 points or less2-03-114-192-02-219-142-03-114-19
in home games2-210-1062-772-27-1274-642-210-963-77
in home lined games2-210-1062-772-27-1274-642-210-963-77
in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 45 points1-02-015-161-01-114-181-02-016-16
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points1-18-946-531-18-1043-581-17-1139-62
against conference opponents2-311-1891-1202-311-17105-1033-212-1772-141
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest0-01-07-90-00-19-70-00-03-12
versus division opponents2-16-950-752-17-865-603-07-846-80
after a bye week0-01-18-100-01-110-80-00-14-13
in games played on turf2-211-1274-812-29-1378-752-210-1263-93
in November games0-04-441-300-04-338-310-03-430-40
when playing against a team with a winning record2-07-749-541-15-954-512-05-828-76
in weeks 5 through 92-15-732-411-26-539-352-14-822-54
Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.
BALTIMORE - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games4-3-25-24-328.410.6378.7(6)1.019.68.1313.7(5.5)1.4
Road Games1-2-12-13-027.710.3374.0(6.1)1.028.715.7406.3(6.5)1.0
Last 3 Games1-2-42-11-225.05.3332.3(5.9)0.719.05.7343.0(5.7)1.0
Turf Games0-1-10-11-021.07.0363.0(5.7)2.027.017.0319.0(5.1)1.0
Division Games1-1-31-10-224.013.5368.0(6.5)1.510.01.5294.5(5.1)3.0
BALTIMORE - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)28.410.622.029:5527-125(4.6)24-3666.0%254(7)63-379(6)(13.3)
Opponents Defensive Avg.20.310.118.330:0227-116(4.2)20-3260.4%217(6.7)60-333(5.6)(16.4)
Offense Road Games27.710.322.026:2122-109(4.9)24-3962.4%265(6.8)61-374(6.1)(13.5)
Defense (All Games)19.68.117.930:0525-88(3.5)20-3262.7%226(7)57-314(5.5)(16)
Opponents Offensive Avg.21.910.818.631:5228-109(3.9)20-3361.0%216(6.5)61-325(5.3)(14.8)
Defense Road Games28.715.721.333:3927-102(3.7)22-3563.2%305(8.6)63-406(6.5)(14.2)
BALTIMORE - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)0.70.31.00.414-748.4%1-040.0%4-106(26.4)2-9(4.3)8-64
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.80.81.71.913-538.3%1-046.9%4-92(23)20-2(9.4)7-47
Stats For (Road Games)0.70.31.00.013-647.4%1-00.0%6-145(24.2)1-3(2.5)6-64
Stats Against (All Games)1.00.41.4 13-433.0%1-171.4%5-108(20.9)2-15(7)6-47
Opponents Avg. Stats For0.90.61.5 14-537.2%1-155.4%4-93(23.8)27-2(11.2)6-64
Stats Against (Road Games)0.70.31.0 13-540.0%1-166.7%5-102(21.9)2-16(6.9)7-47

CINCINNATI - Current Season Performance
 Straight UpAgainst SpreadTeamOpponent
 W-LUnitsW-LO-UScoreHalfYardsYPPTOScoreHalfYardsYPPTO
All Games5-2+5.74-34-323.312.7345.9(5.6)1.618.39.7341.3(5.7)1.7
Home Games2-2-1.22-22-223.012.7331.0(5.6)1.217.58.2356.5(6.2)1.7
Last 3 Games2-1+2.42-11-226.317.0382.3(6.2)1.717.38.0336.0(5.9)2.7
Turf Games2-2-1.22-22-223.012.7331.0(5.6)1.217.58.2356.5(6.2)1.7
Division Games3-0+5.32-12-121.06.7350.3(5.4)1.318.09.0341.7(5.4)1.7
CINCINNATI - Current Season Statistics
 RushingPassingTotal
 PPGHalfFDTOPATT-YDSYPRCMP-ATTPCTYDSPYAATT-YDSYPPYPPT
Offense (All Games)23.312.720.131:5129-128(4.3)20-3261.7%218(6.7)62-346(5.6)(14.9)
Opponents Defensive Avg.19.910.718.130:4527-106(4)20-3260.2%208(6.4)59-314(5.3)(15.8)
Offense Home Games23.012.719.729:4327-112(4.1)21-3265.1%219(6.8)59-331(5.6)(14.4)
Defense (All Games)18.39.717.730:1723-88(3.8)23-3763.7%253(6.9)59-341(5.7)(18.7)
Opponents Offensive Avg.22.310.919.131:4327-108(4)21-3363.7%234(7)60-342(5.7)(15.3)
Defense Home Games17.58.217.030:1723-75(3.3)23-3468.1%282(8.2)57-356(6.2)(20.4)
CINCINNATI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
 Turnovers LostThird DownsFourth DownsKickoff ReturnsPunt ReturnsPenalties
 INTFLTODIFF#-MADEPCT#-MADEPCTKR-YDSYPKRPR-YDSYPPRPEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)1.00.61.60.114-641.7%1-180.0%4-74(20)2-32(13.1)6-30
Opponents Avg. Stats Against0.90.81.7213-537.4%1-148.3%4-96(23.2)19-2(8.8)6-48
Stats For (Home Games)0.70.51.20.513-541.2%1-166.7%3-68(19.4)1-16(11)4-30
Stats Against (All Games)1.10.61.7 13-539.6%1-050.0%4-93(23.3)2-26(11.6)7-48
Opponents Avg. Stats For10.71.7 13-539.3%1-044.7%4-95(24.6)25-2(10)6-30
Stats Against (Home Games)1.20.51.7 12-543.7%1-050.0%4-84(20.9)2-16(8)6-48
Average power rating of opponents played: BALTIMORE 21,  CINCINNATI 21.6
Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.
BALTIMORE - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/13/2009KANSAS CITY38-24W-13W37O41-19826-43-303117-2916-24-1590
9/20/2009@ SAN DIEGO31-26W1W41O32-13018-27-181121-5325-45-4212
9/27/2009CLEVELAND34-3W-13.5W38.5U28-14226-37-337123-7117-27-1154
10/4/2009@ NEW ENGLAND21-27L2L45O17-11627-47-247230-8521-32-2341
10/11/2009CINCINNATI14-17L-9L42U18-8222-31-175234-14218-31-2612
10/18/2009@ MINNESOTA31-33L3W45.5O18-8128-43-367031-16721-29-2590
11/1/2009DENVER30-7W-4.5W42.5U35-12520-25-167019-6623-37-1341
11/8/2009@ CINCINNATI            
11/16/2009@ CLEVELAND            
11/22/2009INDIANAPOLIS            
11/29/2009PITTSBURGH            
12/7/2009@ GREEN BAY            

CINCINNATI - Season Results
 Team StatsOpp Stats
DateOpponentScoreSULineATSTot.O/URushingPassingTORushingPassingTO
9/13/2009DENVER7-12L-5L41U27-8621-33-221220-7517-28-2270
9/20/2009@ GREEN BAY31-24W9W41.5O34-15115-23-168218-8921-39-2221
9/27/2009PITTSBURGH23-20W3W36.5O19-10020-37-173028-10222-31-2711
10/4/2009@ CLEVELAND23-20W-6L37.5O30-15423-44-221233-14626-48-2492
10/11/2009@ BALTIMORE17-14W9W42U34-14218-31-261218-8222-31-1752
10/18/2009HOUSTON17-28L-3.5L46U17-4623-35-250331-8728-40-3852
10/25/2009CHICAGO45-10W1.5W42.5O45-21520-24-233012-3527-39-2444
11/8/2009BALTIMORE            
11/15/2009@ PITTSBURGH            
11/22/2009@ OAKLAND            
11/29/2009CLEVELAND            
12/6/2009DETROIT            
Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.
All games in this series since 1992
BALTIMORE is 15-12 against the spread versus CINCINNATI since 1992
BALTIMORE is 15-12 straight up against CINCINNATI since 1992
15 of 27 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-2 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 3-2 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at CINCINNATI since 1992
CINCINNATI is 7-6 against the spread versus BALTIMORE since 1992
CINCINNATI is 7-6 straight up against BALTIMORE since 1992
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992
Games played at CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 1-1 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 1-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 RushingPassingTurnoversPenalties
DateTeamsScoreLineResultHalfFDTOPATT-YDSCMP-ATTYDSFLINTPEN-YDS
10/11/2009CINCINNATI1742SU ATS32234:1934-14218-31261117-39
 BALTIMORE14-9 Under71225:4118-8222-311750210-76
11/30/2008BALTIMORE34-7SU ATS132037:5143-14720-30304003-30
 CINCINNATI336 Over3621:0216-5712-3398013-15
9/7/2008CINCINNATI10-2 Under3823:4523-6510-2589115-40
 BALTIMORE1738SU ATS102136:1546-22915-29129209-64
11/11/2007CINCINNATI2144SU ATS61735:4234-7023-34256007-45
 BALTIMORE7-3 Under01624:1818-6623-34206426-30
9/10/2007BALTIMORE2039.5 Over102032:2125-10722-402074210-86
 CINCINNATI27-2.5SU ATS121327:3923-5520-32181205-41
Team Line Action - Where the money is going!
Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.
As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring Nobody in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 48% of the time since 1992. (82-89)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in BALTIMORE games 52.8% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-17)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 51.5% of the time since 1992. (104-98)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in CINCINNATI games 54.3% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-16)
No Edge.
 
As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the OVER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 55.9% of the time since 1992. (100-79)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in BALTIMORE games 44.7% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-21)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 49.3% of the time since 1992. (113-116)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in CINCINNATI games 57.6% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (19-14)
No Edge.
Key Player Injuries
BALTIMORE
[OT] 08/04/2009 - Adam Terry IR ( Knee )
[CB] 10/19/2009 - Samari Rolle IR ( Neck )
[WR] 08/14/2009 - Marcus Smith IR ( ACL )
[DL] 08/15/2009 - Lamar Divens IR ( Hip )
[LB] 09/06/2009 - Jason Phillips IR ( Knee )
[LB] 10/05/2009 - Brendon Ayanbadejo IR ( Quad )
[DL] 11/01/2009 - Haloti Ngata injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Ankle )
[LS] 11/06/2009 - Matt Katula "?" Sunday vs. Cincinnati ( Elbow )
CINCINNATI
[TE] 08/03/2009 - Reggie Kelly IR ( Achilles )
[OT] 11/01/2009 - Andre Smith is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Foot )
[WR] 09/06/2009 - Antonio Chatman IR ( Ankle )
[TE] 08/31/2009 - Ben Utecht IR ( Concussion )
[C] 08/24/2009 - Dan Santucci IR ( Foot )
[fb] 11/03/2009 - Jeremi Johnson is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Knee )
[S] 11/01/2009 - Roy L Williams is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Forearm )
[rb] 11/04/2009 - Bernard Scott is upgraded to probable Sunday vs. Baltimore ( Knee )
[DE] 10/20/2009 - Antwan Odom IR ( Achilles )
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