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MIAMI (3-4) AT NEW ENGLAND (5-2) Sunday, Nov 8 2009 at 1:00 PM
News Coverage: MIAMI \| NEW ENGLAND						Offensive Statistics			Defensive Statistics
Teams	Line	PF/PA	SU	ATS	O/U/P	RY	PY	TY	RY	PY	TY
415: MIAMI 416: NEW ENGLAND	47.0 -10.5	25.1 / 25.3 28.3 / 14.0	3-4 5-2	3-4-0 4-3-0	5-2-0 3-4-0	153.4 115.0	152.0 291.0	305.4 406.0	92.4 109.4	236.0 178.3	328.4 287.7

Power Rating Line
The power rating system is based on recent game results. The section should be used to compare the relative strength of the two teams involved. A power line is calculated using both teams ratings and home field advantage. Where the power line differs significantly from the current line, the team with the edge is indicated.

	Power Rating
	Estimate	Edge
MIAMI
NEW ENGLAND	-14

Team Trends and Angles
All team trends listed below apply to the current game.

MIAMI - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1992	Current	Last 3	Since 1992	Current	Last 3	Since 1992
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as an underdog of 10 or more points	0-0	3-1	9-3	0-0	2-2	4-7	0-0	1-3	4-8
in all games	3-4	16-22	135-149	5-2	20-20	130-159	3-4	15-25	155-138
in all lined games	3-4	16-22	135-149	5-2	20-20	130-159	3-4	15-25	155-138
as an underdog	2-4	13-15	64-64	4-2	15-15	59-73	2-4	8-22	49-84
as a road underdog of 10.5 to 14 points	0-0	1-0	7-2	0-0	1-0	3-5	0-0	1-0	4-5
in road games	1-2	9-7	70-69	1-2	8-10	68-73	1-2	6-12	63-81
in road lined games	1-2	9-7	70-69	1-2	8-10	68-73	1-2	6-12	63-81
in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points	0-0	1-0	5-2	0-0	0-1	1-6	0-0	0-1	5-2
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points	0-3	7-6	40-29	1-2	4-9	26-44	0-3	4-9	39-31
against conference opponents	3-2	15-14	106-111	4-1	17-13	100-119	3-2	12-18	120-103
when playing with 6 or less days rest	2-1	13-17	98-114	2-1	17-14	93-120	2-1	13-18	115-100
versus division opponents	3-0	8-6	53-72	3-0	9-6	63-64	3-0	7-8	64-66
off a division game	1-1	5-9	57-62	2-0	7-7	55-65	1-1	6-8	70-51
in games played on turf	0-1	3-4	30-35	0-1	3-4	30-33	0-1	3-4	30-35
in November games	1-0	3-6	35-36	1-0	2-7	31-41	1-0	5-4	40-33
off a win against a division rival	1-1	3-3	29-30	2-0	2-4	21-39	1-1	4-2	37-23
when playing against a team with a winning record	2-1	8-4	63-60	3-0	5-7	55-69	2-1	5-7	57-69
in weeks 5 through 9	2-1	8-4	40-37	3-0	7-5	40-38	2-1	5-7	42-37

NEW ENGLAND - Recent ATS Trends
	Against the spread			Over/Under			Straight Up
	Current	Last 3	Since 1992	Current	Last 3	Since 1992	Current	Last 3	Since 1992
Description	W-L	W-L	W-L	O-U	O-U	O-U	W-L	W-L	W-L
as a favorite of 10 or more points	1-1	7-11	15-14	1-1	10-7	15-13	2-0	16-2	28-2
in all games	4-3	23-19	160-133	3-4	23-18	142-155	5-2	34-8	185-118
in all lined games	4-3	23-19	160-133	3-4	23-18	142-155	5-2	34-8	185-118
as a favorite	4-3	22-18	89-89	3-4	23-16	83-97	5-2	34-6	138-46
as a home favorite of 10.5 to 14 points	0-1	1-4	8-7	1-0	2-2	6-7	1-0	4-1	14-1
in home games	3-1	11-11	76-69	3-1	13-8	69-79	4-0	19-3	103-48
in home lined games	3-1	11-11	76-69	3-1	13-8	69-79	4-0	19-3	103-48
in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points	1-1	5-3	7-15	1-1	5-3	10-12	2-0	8-0	13-9
in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points	3-2	9-9	41-51	2-3	10-8	39-55	4-1	15-3	55-40
against conference opponents	2-3	17-14	125-96	3-2	16-14	111-114	3-2	24-7	139-91
when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest	0-0	2-2	10-14	0-0	2-1	12-12	0-0	3-1	15-10
versus division opponents	0-2	8-6	71-50	1-1	8-6	55-67	1-1	11-3	76-50
after a bye week	0-0	2-1	11-11	0-0	2-0	10-12	0-0	3-0	15-8
in games played on turf	3-1	16-12	52-39	3-1	15-12	47-44	4-0	24-4	59-34
in November games	0-0	4-4	34-34	0-0	5-3	28-42	0-0	5-3	42-28
after 2 or more consecutive wins	0-1	11-11	61-49	0-1	11-10	53-58	0-1	18-4	80-34
when playing against a team with a losing record	2-0	7-6	40-39	1-1	5-8	34-45	2-0	11-2	60-21
in weeks 5 through 9	2-1	9-4	43-34	1-2	7-6	37-40	2-1	10-3	43-36

Team Statistics
Peformance statistics for each team in various situations are listed below. Categories where a team has performed poorly are denoted in red. Categories where a team has performed well are denoted in green.

MIAMI - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	3-4	-0.4	3-4	5-2	25.1	10.0	305.4	(4.9)	1.6	25.3	7.9	328.4	(5.8)	1.3
Road Games	1-2	-0.7	1-2	1-2	16.7	2.0	217.3	(4.1)	2.3	22.3	5.3	338.0	(5.1)	0.7
Last 3 Games	2-1	+1.6	2-1	3-0	31.7	12.3	283.7	(4.8)	1.3	32.7	8.7	367.0	(5.7)	1.7
Turf Games	0-0	0	0-0	0-0	0	0	0	(0)	0	0	0	0	(0)	0
Division Games	3-0	+3.6	3-0	3-0	33.0	10.0	284.3	(4.8)	0.3	20.7	6.3	297.7	(5.2)	1.3

MIAMI - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	25.1	10.0	19.6	32:54	34-153	(4.6)	18-29	62.1%	152	(5.2)	63-305	(4.9)	(12.1)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	19.1	9.5	18.1	30:18	28-123	(4.4)	19-34	57.0%	195	(5.7)	62-318	(5.1)	(16.7)
Offense Road Games	16.7	2.0	15.0	29:09	25-99	(3.9)	17-28	61.4%	118	(4.3)	53-217	(4.1)	(13)
Defense (All Games)	25.3	7.9	18.1	27:06	26-92	(3.6)	17-31	56.7%	236	(7.7)	56-328	(5.8)	(13)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	25.4	13.5	19.2	30:21	30-128	(4.3)	19-31	61.1%	226	(7.2)	61-353	(5.8)	(13.9)
Defense Road Games	22.3	5.3	20.3	30:51	32-88	(2.8)	20-35	57.7%	250	(7.2)	66-338	(5.1)	(15.1)

MIAMI - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
	Turnovers Lost				Third Downs		Fourth Downs		Kickoff Returns		Punt Returns		Penalties
	INT	FL	TO	DIFF	#-MADE	PCT	#-MADE	PCT	KR-YDS	YPKR	PR-YDS	YPPR	PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)	0.7	0.9	1.6	-0.3	15-8	50.5%	1-1	71.4%	5-125	(27.2)	2-17	(7.6)	6-30
Opponents Avg. Stats Against	1.3	0.8	2.1	2.5	14-5	38.7%	1-1	45.1%	4-102	(23.6)	19-2	(9)	6-32
Stats For (Road Games)	0.7	1.7	2.3	-1.7	12-4	35.1%	1-1	66.7%	5-166	(31.1)	2-13	(5.6)	5-30
Stats Against (All Games)	0.9	0.4	1.3		12-4	33.3%	1-1	57.1%	5-106	(22.5)	3-27	(8.7)	5-32
Opponents Avg. Stats For	1	0.6	1.6		13-5	39.6%	1-1	57.2%	3-84	(24)	17-2	(7.5)	6-30
Stats Against (Road Games)	0.0	0.7	0.7		14-5	37.2%	1-0	33.3%	3-65	(19.6)	4-30	(8.3)	4-32

NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Performance
	Straight Up		Against Spread		Team					Opponent
	W-L	Units	W-L	O-U	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO	Score	Half	Yards	YPP	TO
All Games	5-2	+0.9	4-3	3-4	28.3	18.9	406.0	(5.9)	0.9	14.0	6.9	287.7	(5.2)	2.1
Home Games	4-0	+4	3-1	3-1	34.2	21.2	456.0	(6.2)	0.5	13.7	7.7	274.0	(5.4)	2.2
Last 3 Games	2-1	-0.5	2-1	1-2	37.0	27.7	446.0	(6.9)	1.0	9.0	4.7	288.0	(4.8)	3.3
Turf Games	4-0	+4	3-1	3-1	34.2	21.2	456.0	(6.2)	0.5	13.7	7.7	274.0	(5.4)	2.2
Division Games	1-1	-0.6	0-2	1-1	17.0	9.5	370.0	(5.2)	1.0	20.0	8.5	265.0	(5.5)	1.0

NEW ENGLAND - Current Season Statistics
					Rushing		Passing				Total
	PPG	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	YPR	CMP-ATT	PCT	YDS	PYA	ATT-YDS	YPP	YPPT
Offense (All Games)	28.3	18.9	23.9	34:46	28-115	(4.1)	27-41	66.2%	291	(7.2)	69-406	(5.9)	(14.4)
Opponents Defensive Avg.	21.7	11.4	18.7	31:14	28-122	(4.3)	20-33	61.9%	218	(6.6)	61-339	(5.5)	(15.7)
Offense Home Games	34.2	21.2	28.2	37:43	30-130	(4.3)	31-43	71.5%	326	(7.6)	73-456	(6.2)	(13.3)
Defense (All Games)	14.0	6.9	16.3	25:56	24-109	(4.5)	17-31	56.5%	178	(5.8)	55-288	(5.2)	(20.6)
Opponents Offensive Avg.	20.1	10	18	29:23	29-130	(4.5)	19-32	58.5%	195	(6.1)	60-325	(5.4)	(16.2)
Defense Home Games	13.7	7.7	15.7	22:17	22-114	(5.1)	15-28	53.5%	160	(5.6)	51-274	(5.4)	(19.9)

NEW ENGLAND - Turnovers, Penalties and Special Teams Statistics
	Turnovers Lost				Third Downs		Fourth Downs		Kickoff Returns		Punt Returns		Penalties
	INT	FL	TO	DIFF	#-MADE	PCT	#-MADE	PCT	KR-YDS	YPKR	PR-YDS	YPPR	PEN-YDS
Stats For (All Games)	0.6	0.3	0.9	1.3	14-6	44.8%	1-1	50.0%	3-79	(23)	3-24	(9.3)	6-36
Opponents Avg. Stats Against	1.1	0.7	1.8	2.2	14-5	38.2%	1-1	52.6%	4-80	(22.7)	22-2	(9.3)	6-66
Stats For (Home Games)	0.2	0.2	0.5	1.7	14-7	49.1%	2-1	55.6%	3-79	(24.4)	2-22	(9)	5-36
Stats Against (All Games)	1.0	1.1	2.1		12-4	36.1%	1-0	28.6%	4-101	(23.5)	1-10	(8.6)	7-66
Opponents Avg. Stats For	1	0.6	1.6		13-5	37.2%	1-1	50.3%	4-88	(24.1)	17-2	(7.6)	6-36
Stats Against (Home Games)	0.7	1.5	2.2		11-4	39.5%	1-0	33.3%	5-123	(23.5)	0-1	(5)	8-66

Average power rating of opponents played: MIAMI 25.3, NEW ENGLAND 20.6

Current Season Results And Upcoming Games
Here are the most recent results and upcoming schedules for the two teams involved. Lines, total, game scores, results versus the spread, straight up and against the total are all displayed.

MIAMI - Season Results
								Team Stats			Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Rushing	Passing	TO	Rushing	Passing	TO
9/13/2009	@ ATLANTA	7-19	L	4	L	44	U	22-96	21-30-163	4	27-68	22-36-213	0
9/21/2009	INDIANAPOLIS	23-27	L	3	L	41	O	49-239	22-33-164	1	11-61	14-23-295	0
9/27/2009	@ SAN DIEGO	13-23	L	5	L	45	U	31-149	18-31-140	2	28-69	18-33-286	1
10/4/2009	BUFFALO	38-10	W	-2	W	37	O	45-250	14-22-86	0	17-46	14-26-160	3
10/12/2009	NY JETS	31-27	W	3	W	35.5	O	36-151	21-28-262	0	30-138	12-24-171	0
10/25/2009	NEW ORLEANS	34-46	L	6	L	47.5	O	30-137	18-37-197	3	27-138	22-38-276	4
11/1/2009	@ NY JETS	30-25	W	3	W	40	O	23-52	12-22-52	1	40-127	20-35-251	1
11/8/2009	@ NEW ENGLAND
11/15/2009	TAMPA BAY
11/19/2009	@ CAROLINA
11/29/2009	@ BUFFALO
12/6/2009	NEW ENGLAND

NEW ENGLAND - Season Results
								Team Stats			Opp Stats
Date	Opponent	Score	SU	Line	ATS	Tot.	O/U	Rushing	Passing	TO	Rushing	Passing	TO
9/14/2009	BUFFALO	25-24	W	-13	L	47	O	23-73	39-53-368	1	19-90	15-25-186	1
9/20/2009	@ NY JETS	9-16	L	-3.5	L	44.5	U	20-83	23-47-216	1	31-117	14-22-137	1
9/27/2009	ATLANTA	26-10	W	-4	W	45.5	U	39-168	25-42-277	0	17-58	17-28-199	1
10/4/2009	BALTIMORE	27-21	W	-2	W	45	O	30-85	21-32-234	1	17-116	27-47-247	2
10/11/2009	@ DENVER	17-20	L	-3	L	41	U	27-96	19-33-209	1	25-103	35-48-321	2
10/18/2009	TENNESSEE	59-0	W	-9	W	39	O	30-193	38-45-426	0	36-193	2-14-7	5
10/25/2009	*TAMPA BAY	35-7	W	-15.5	W	44.5	U	28-107	23-32-307	2	26-89	11-30-151	3
11/8/2009	MIAMI
11/15/2009	@ INDIANAPOLIS
11/22/2009	NY JETS
11/30/2009	@ NEW ORLEANS
12/6/2009	@ MIAMI

Head-to-Head Series History
Listed below is a summary of the games results in recent Head-to-Head matchups.

All games in this series since 1992

NEW ENGLAND is 18-16 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992

MIAMI is 18-17 straight up against NEW ENGLAND since 1992

17 of 34 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games over the last 3 seasons

NEW ENGLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons

NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons

3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

All games played at NEW ENGLAND since 1992

NEW ENGLAND is 10-7 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1992

NEW ENGLAND is 11-7 straight up against MIAMI since 1992

9 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992

Games played at NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons

NEW ENGLAND is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons

1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

								Rushing	Passing		Turnovers		Penalties
Date	Teams	Score	Line	Result	Half	FD	TOP	ATT-YDS	CMP-ATT	YDS	FL	INT	PEN-YDS
11/23/2008	NEW ENGLAND	48	-2	SU ATS	17	30	33:10	25-122	30-43	408	1	1	6-38
	MIAMI	28	42	Over	14	23	26:50	19-62	24-41	330	0	1	8-60
9/21/2008	MIAMI	38	37	SU ATS	21	23	32:33	36-216	18-21	245	0	0	5-35
	NEW ENGLAND	13	-12	Over	6	14	27:27	20-79	22-35	137	1	1	2-10
12/23/2007	MIAMI	7	46	ATS	0	15	31:44	22-108	18-41	133	0	0	4-32
	NEW ENGLAND	28	-22.5	SU Under	28	19	28:16	25-196	18-33	204	2	2	2-18
10/21/2007	NEW ENGLAND	49	-15.5	SU ATS	42	23	24:55	22-84	22-28	359	0	1	5-40
	MIAMI	28	50	Over	7	25	34:53	30-179	24-37	203	1	1	4-41

Team Line Action - Where the money is going!

Oddsmakers move a line in part because of one-sided public betting action on a side or total. They also move the line in reaction to wise guys selections. Either way, this section attempts to uncover whether the wise guys and public have a read on a given team. It summarizes both line and total movements. As a general rule, follow the line or total movement when percentages exceed 57% and go against it when they are below 43%.

As indicated by the movement of the line, the betting public is favoring NEW ENGLAND in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 47.1% of the time since 1992. (105-118)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in MIAMI games 56.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (18-14)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 44.1% of the time since 1992. (100-127)
The betting public is correct when moving the money line in NEW ENGLAND games 47.2% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (17-19)
No Edge.

As indicated by the movement of the total, the betting public is favoring the UNDER in this game
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 53.7% of the time since 1992. (131-113)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in MIAMI games 39.4% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (13-20)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 53.9% of the time since 1992. (132-113)
The betting public is correct when moving the total in NEW ENGLAND games 64.9% of the time over the past 3 seasons. (24-13)
No Edge.

Key Player Injuries

MIAMI

[QB] 09/28/2009 - Chad Pennington IR ( Shoulder )

[CB] 10/27/2009 - Will Allen IR ( Knee )

[LB] 11/02/2009 - Channing Crowder is downgraded to doubtful Sunday vs. New England ( Shoulder )

[RB] 10/20/2009 - Patrick Cobbs IR ( Knee )

NEW ENGLAND

[LB] 08/26/2009 - Tyrone McKenzie IR ( Knee )

[OL] 09/05/2009 - George Bussey IR ( Knee )

[WR] 10/21/2009 - Julian Edelman out indefinitely ( Arm )

[RB] 10/08/2009 - Fred Taylor out at least 6-8 weeks ( Ankle )

[RB] 11/01/2009 - Sammy Morris "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee )

[OT] 11/01/2009 - Matt Light "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Knee )

[DL] 11/01/2009 - Ty Warren injured last game, "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Ankle )

[DE] 11/03/2009 - Jarvis Green out indefinitely ( Knee )

[DB] 11/04/2009 - Jonathan Wilhite "?" Sunday vs. Miami ( Flu )

Now you can download and print schedules for each sport so you can plan ahead and track your results.

UPDATED: BASEBALL | WNBA